Regional analysis of the nationally determined contributions in the Pacific: gaps and opportunities in the agriculture and land use sectors

This report provides an overview of climate change mitigation and adaptation priorities in the agriculture and land use sectors of countries in the Pacific, as set forth in their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). It also identifies opportunities for governments to strengthen their sectoral mitigation and adaptation ambitions, capture synergies and accelerate progress on the sustainable development agenda. While the Pacific region contributes in general less than 0.04 percent to global greenhouse gas (GHG) net emissions, and is disproportionately impacted by climate change and variability, all the countries of the region have committed to mitigation in their NDCs. With the exception of Nauru, Samoa and Tonga, all countries - representing 99.8 percent of economy-wide net emissions in the region - have set a general GHG target. However, without implementation of the NDCs, total net emissions in 2030 are expected to increase by around 150 percent compared to those reported in 2015.The analysis provided in this report captures the strong commitment of the countries in the region to take action under the Paris Agreement, and the significant risks that climate change poses for their agriculture and food security. Their NDCs highlight that risks from drought, flood, water stress and coastal erosion are of paramount concern. Agro-ecosystems supporting the production of crops, marine fisheries, and forestry production in the region are particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.